Home page for accesible maths 8.1 Regression coefficients

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8.1.1 Expectation of least squares estimator

Find the expectation of β^ in terms of A, X and β.

𝔼[β^]=𝔼[AY]=A𝔼[Y]

by linearity of expectation, so 𝔼[β^]=AXβ by definition of linear model.

Now

AX=(XX)-1XX=Ip.

where Ip is the p×p identity matrix. Consequently, {mdframed}

𝔼[β^]=AXβ=Ipβ=β,

so that the estimator is unbiased.