NERC Q-NFM at Lancaster University

Publications

Q-NFM project peer-reviewed publications (except*):

Chappell, N.A. and Beven, K. 2024. Nature-based Solutions for effective flood mitigation: potential design criteria. Environmental Research Letters, 19(7): 074006. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad4fa2.

Beven, K. 2024. A brief history of information and disinformation in hydrological data and the impact on the evaluation of hydrological models Hydrological Sciences Journal in press. view online.

*Chappell, N.A., Edokpa, D., Badjana, H.M., Beven, K., Nesbit, T. and Cloke, H. 2024. NFM Glossary: A glossary of terms used in Natural Flood Management developed during the NERC NFM programme 2017-2023. Lancaster University, Manchester University, University of Reading and Forest Research. 10.5281/zenodo.1110494.

Follett, E., Beven, K., Hankin, B., Mindham, D. and Chappell, N. 2024. The importance of retention times in Natural Flood Management interventions. Proc. IAHS, 385: 197-201. view online, or paper (pdf).

Beven, K., Page, T., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Hankin, B. and Chappell, N. 2024. UPH Problem 20: Reducing uncertainty in model prediction: a model invalidation approach based on a Turing-like test. Proc. IAHS, 385: 129-134. view online, or paper (pdf).

Chappell, N.A., Mindham, D., McShane, G. and Beven, K.J. 2024. Modelled dynamic response characteristics of selected micro-basins in the UK. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. (Dataset). https://doi.org/10.5285/ea641367-dc35-4695-97b8-63f7d6fa9105. Link to original paper Mindham et al. (2023).

Chappell, N.A., Beven, K.J., Smith, P. and Hankin, B. 2024. Simulated 15-min discharge time-series and baseline simulations for the River Kent following a Natural Flood Management intervention of 'Enhanced Hillslope Storage', Sedgewick, October 2015 to January 2016. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre. (Dataset). https://doi.org/10.5285/af081a90-b014-43f7-9399-c948a8b7672f. Link to original paper Beven et al. (2022).

*Green Finance Institute 2024. Financing Natural Flood Management. view online.

*Chappell, N.A., Evans, M., Hammond, J., Hankin, B. Johnston, A. and Adekanmbi, A.A. 2023. Illustrating the value of presenting NERC NFM programme findings as effective volumes at flood peaks, flood damages avoided and learning on soil as an NFM tool. NERC NFM Report Card. Lancaster University, University of Manchester, University of Reading and JBA Consulting. 10.5281/zenodo.10361737. view online.

*Elliott, J., and Giritharan, A. 2023. Going with the flow: Policy implications of new natural flood management research. Green Alliance. ISBN 978-1-915754-03-5. view online.

Page, T., Smith, P., Beven, K., Pianosi, F., Sarrazin, F., Almeida, S., Holcombe, L., Freer, J., Chappell, N., and Wagener, T. 2023 Technical note: The CREDIBLE Uncertainty Estimation (CURE) toolbox: facilitating the communication of epistemic uncertainty. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27: 2523-2534, view online.

Beven, K. 2023. Benchmarking hydrological models for an uncertain future. Hydrological Processes, 37(5): e14882. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14882

Mindham, D., Beven, K. and Chappell, N. 2023. Rainfall-streamflow response times for diverse upland UK micro-basins: quantifying hydrographs to identify the nonlinearity of storm response. Hydrology Research, 54(2): 233-244. view online, EIDC access to the data used in this paper.

Page, T., Beven, K.J., Hankin, B. and Chappell, N.A. 2022. Interpolation of rainfall observations during extreme rainfall events in complex mountainous terrain. Hydrological Processes 36: e14758. view online.

Beven, K., Page, T., Hankin, B., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A. Mindham, D. and Chappell, N. 2022. Deciding on fitness-for-purpose - of models and of natural flood management. Hydrological Processes 36: e14752. view online, EIDC access to the data used in this paper.

Beven, K., Lane, S., Page, T., Hankin, B., Smith, P. and Chappell, N.A. 2022. On (in)validating environmental models. 2. Implementation of a Turing-like test to modelling hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes 36(10): e14703 view online.

Beven, K. and Lane, S. 2022. On (in)validating environmental models. 1. Principles for formulating a Turing-like Test for determining when a model is fit-for purpose. Hydrological Processes accepted: e14704 view online.

Follett, E. and Hankin, B. 2022. Investigation of effect of logjam series for varying channel and barrier physical properties using a sparse input data 1D network model. Environmental Modelling and Software 158: 105543 view online.

Page, T., Chappell, N. and Leeson, P. 2022. The significance of wet-canopy evaporation. Wood Wise: 10-15. view issue online or view paper (pdf).

Hankin, B., Chappell, N.A., Page, T., Beven, K., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A. and Lamb, R. 2021. Using micro-catchment experiments for multi-local scale modelling of nature-based solutions. Hydrological Processes 35(11): e14418 view online or view paper (pdf).

Hankin, B., Page, T., McShane, G., Chappell, N., Spray, C., Black, A. and Comins, L. 2021. How can we plan resilient systems of nature-based mitigation measures in larger catchments for flood risk reduction now and in the future? Water Security 13: 100091 view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven, K. 2021. Issues in generating stochastic observables for hydrological models. Hydrological Processes 35(6): e14203. view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven, K.J. and Chappell, N.A. 2021. Perceptual perplexity and parameter parsimony. WIREs Water 8(4): e1530 doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1530 view online or view paper (pdf).

Wallace, E.E., McShane, G., Tych, W., Kretzschmar, A., McCann, T. and Chappell, N.A. 2021. The effect of hedgerow wild-margins on topsoil hydraulic properties, and overland-flow incidence, magnitude and water-quality. Hydrological Processes 35(3): e14098. doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14098. view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven, K. 2021. An epistemically uncertain walk through the rather fuzzy subject of observation and model uncertainties. Hydrological Processes 35(1): e14012. 10.1002/hyp.14012 view online

Page, T., Chappell, N.A., Beven, K.J., Hankin, B. and Kretzschmar, A. 2020. Assessing the significance of wet-canopy evaporation from forests during extreme rainfall events for flood mitigation in mountainous regions of the United Kingdom. Hydrological Processes 34: 4740-4754. doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13895 view online

Beven, K.J. 2020. A history of the concept of time of concentration. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 24(5): 2655-2670. doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2655-2020 view online

Hankin, B., Hewitt, I., Sander, G., Danieli, F., Formetta, G., Kamilova, A., Kretzschmar, A., Kiradjiev, K., Wong, C., Pegler, S. and Lamb, R. 2020. A risk-based network analysis of distributed in-stream leaky barriers for flood risk management. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 20(10): 2567-2584. doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2567-2020 view online

Beven, K. 2020. Deep learning, hydrological processes and uniqueness of place. Hydrological Processes 34(16): 3608-3613. doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13805 view online

Wallace, E. E. and Chappell, N.A. 2020. A statistical comparison of spatio-temporal surface moisture patterns beneath a semi-natural grassland and permanent pasture: From drought to saturation. Hydrological Processes 34: 3000-3020. doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13774 view online

Beven, K., Asadullah, A., Bates, P., Blyth, E., Chappell, N., Child, S., Cloke, H., Dadson, S., Everard, N., Fowler, H.J., Freer, J., Hannah, D.M., Heppell, K., Holden, J., Lamb, R., Lewis, H., Morgan, G., Parry, L., and Wagener, T., 2020. Developing observational methods to drive future hydrological science: Can we make a start as a community? Hydrological Processes 34(3): 868-873 https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13622 view online or view paper (pdf).

*Wentworth, J. and Ermgassen, S.Z. 2020. Natural mitigation of flood risk. POSTnote: 623 (May 2020). UK Parliament. Contributions from Q-NFM team members Hankin and Chappell. view online or view paper (pdf).

Wallace, E. E. and Chappell, N.A. 2019. Blade aeration effects on near-surface permeability and overland-flow likelihood on two stagnosol pastures in Cumbria, UK. Journal of Environmental Quality 48(6): 1766-1774. view online or view paper (pdf).

Wallace, E. and Chappell, N.A. 2019. Ralphland Common soil volumetric wetness (Dataset). doi.org/10.17635/lancaster/researchdata/331. view or dowload dataset or view supporting paper Chappell and Wallace (2019).

Magliano, P.N., Mindham, D., Tych, W., Murray, F., Nosetto, M.N., Jobbagy, E.G., Rufino, M.C. and Chappell, N.A. 2019. Hydrological functioning of cattle ranching impoundments in the Dry Chaco rangelands of Argentina. Hydrology Research doi.org/10.2166/nh.2019.149. view online or view paper (pdf).

Hankin, B. Metcalfe, P., Beven, K. and Chappell, N.A. 2019. Integration of hillslope hydrology and 2d hydraulic modelling for natural flood management. Hydrology Research doi.org/10.2166/nh.2019.150. view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven K., 2019. Towards a methodology for testing models as hypotheses in the inexact sciences. Proc. R. Soc. A 475: 20180862. dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2018.0862. view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven, K. 2019. How to make advances in hydrological modelling. Hydrology Research https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2019.134 view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven K. 2018. On hypothesis testing in hydrology: why falsification of models is still a really good idea. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Water 5:e1278. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1278 view online or view paper (pdf).

Beven, K. 2018. A century of denial: preferential and non-equilibrium water flow in soils, 1864-1984. Vadose Zone Journal. 17(1) doi:10.2136/vzj2018.08.0153 view online or view paper (pdf).

Metcalfe, P., Beven, K., Hankin, B. and Lamb, R. 2018. A new method, with application, for analysis of the impacts on flood risk of widely distributed enhanced hillslope storage. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 22: 2589-2605, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2589-2018. view online or view paper (pdf).

Presentations and media

Chappell, N. Environmental expertise in House of Lords flood mitigation report launch. LU News on 21 Mar 2024.

Chappell, N. How well can flood peaks be mitigated on farmed land? Invited presentation in Slow the Flow session at the Oxford Real Farming Conference on 4 Jan 2024, Town Hall, Oxford. view online.

Chappell, N. NFM Evidence Base. Invited presentation to West Cumbria Catchment Partnership meeting, Braithwaite Institute, Cumbria on 29 Nov 2023.

Chappell, N. Forty years of hydrological monitoring in UK catchments: its evolution, challenges and needs. Invited presentation at the British Hydrological Society National Meeting Hydrology learning between the generations: 40 years of BHS on 6 Nov 2023, ICE, London. view presentation (pdf)

Chappell, N.A. Findings of the Q-NFM project. Presentation to Devon, Cornwall and Isles of Scilly FCRIP team on 31 Oct 2023, Penrith.

Chappell, N.A. and Kennedy, D. Lancaster University stand on findings from NERC and EA funded research on effectiveness of Natural Flood Management at Flood & Coast 2023 on 6-8 June 2023, Telford International Conference, Telford.

Chappell, N.A. Findings from research on effectiveness of Natural Flood Management. Invited online seminar to Natural England on 31 May 2023.

Chappell, N.A. Natural Flood Management. Invited online seminar to Isle of Man Department of Infrastructure on 26 April 2023

Follett, E., Hankin, B. and Chappell, N. 2023. Impact of engineered logjams in enhancing performance of full floodplain restorations, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24-28 Apr 2023, EGU23-15071 view online.

Pearson, E., Hankin, B., Chappell, N., Beven, K. and Rose, S. 2023. Compilation of new evidence for the effectiveness of measures to emulate natural flood management (NFM) in the last 5 years, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24-28 Apr 2023, EGU23-6368 view online.

Chappell, N.A. NERC Q-NFM project findings. Banners presentation at Yorkshire NFM Community of Practice on Mon 2 Feb 2023 at Gargrave, Yorkshire

Chappell, N.A. Simply Evidence 60: Flood mitigation effectiveness of nature-based solutions in peatland, productive grasslands and woodland: Policy implications from new evidence from a 5-year NERC research programme. Invited online seminar to Defra Simply Evidence programme on 17 Nov 2022

Chappell, N.A. Mindham, D., McShane, G., Kennedy, D., Coyle, D., Page, T., Beven, K., Smith, P., Kretzschmar, A., Hankin, B., Quinton, J., Haygarth, P., Lamb, R. Cumbrian NFM effectiveness monitoring network. Presentation at the Fourteenth British Hydrological Society Symposium on 13 Sept 2022. view BHS2022 Book of Abstracts.

Mindham, D. Quantification of runoff response in NFM micro-basins - using time constants to compare runoff responses in both time and space. Poster presentation at the Fourteenth British Hydrological Society Symposium on 12-13 Sept 2022. view BHS2022 Book of Abstracts.

Chappell, N.A. Findings of the NERC Q-NFM project. Invited online seminar to Devon, Cornwall and Isles of Scilly (DCIoS) NbS and NFM Group on 8 Sept 2022.

Chappell, N.A. Sharing C-NFM and Q-NFM monitoring. Field discussions with National Trust and Environment Agency at Hardcastle Crags on 21 July 2022

Chappell, N.A., Page, T., Beven, K., Hankin, B., Metcalfe, P. McShane, G., Kretzschmar, A., Mindham, D., Smith, P., Haygarth, P., Quinton, J. and Lamb, R. Findings of the NERC Quantifying the likely magnitude of nature-based flood mitigation effects across large catchments. Online presentation at the NERC Evaluating the Effectiveness of Natural Flood Management (NFM) Research Programme Finale Event on 7 July 2022. view NERC Q-NFM Finale presentation 7 July 2022

Chappell, N.A. Sharing NERC Q-NFM learning with UK Government Open Innovation Team. Online on 31 May 2022

Chappell, N.A. Sharing NERC Q-NFM learning pertinent to optimising NFM outcomes within new woodland design with Natural England. Online on 27 May 2022

Chappell, N.A., NFM monitoring. Field presentation to Beck to Bay Partnership on 10 Feb 2022 at Birds Park NFM, Kendal.

Chappell, N. Findings on NFM effectiveness. Field presentation to Natural England on 25 Jan 2022 at Lowther Estates, Cumbria.

Chappell, N. NFM effectiveness in Cumbria. Invited presentation to Natural England (Cumbria) at Whale Farm, Askham on 23 Sep 2021

Chappell, N.A., 2021. Lancaster University Collaborative Visit to Lowther Estate, Cumbria. Lancaster University Facilities News, 20^th January 2021. view online.

Chappell, N.A., 2021. Can beavers help reduce flood peaks? Lancaster University Headline News, 19^th January 2021. view online.

Chappell, N.A., 2020. Interview on monitoring effects of beaver in enhancing floodplain storage at Lowther Estate, Cumbria. ITV Border, 14^th December 2020. watch online.

Chappell, N.A., 2020. Interview on value of stream monitoring to assess effects of tree planting and floodplain storage at Lowther, Cumbria. ITV Border, 11^th December 2020. watch online.

Chappell, N.A., 2020. Interview on natural interventions to reduce flood risk in Cumbria on the fifth anniversary of Storm Desmond. BBC Radio Cumbria, 4^th December 2020. listen online.

Chappell, N. and Page, T. 2020. Measuring NFM effectiveness. NERC NFM programme webinar series 3 December 2020 12:30-13:30. view webinar recording or view slides (pdf).

Chappell, N. 2020. NFM monitoring (with analysis) approaches to evidence impact. iCASP webinar series 22 June 2020 13:30-15:30. view webinar or view slides (pdf).

Hankin, B. 2020. Q-NFM: The challenges of modelling NFM. NERC NFM webinar series 21 May 2020 12:30-13:30. view webinar or view slides (pdf).

Webster, B. 2020. Willow dams planted in Lake District to deal with flooding. The Times 12 March 2020. Article mentions NFM monitoring work of PI Chappell view article

Cumbria Wildlife Trust. 2020. Natural Flood Defence to be created for Sandylands, Kendal. Press release 12 March 2020. Jointly written with PI Chappell. view press release

Chappell, N. 2020. Q-NFM. British Hydrological Society SE Section meeting on NFM 6 Feb 2020.

North West Regional Flood and Coastal Committee. 2020. Meeting 24 Jan 2020 reported on work of Q-NFM. view minutes

West, C., 2019. Interview on leaky dam monitoring by West Cumbria Rivers Trust and Lancaster University at Flimby. ITV Border TV 18 Nov 2019

Hankin, B., Kretzschmar, A., Page, P., Chappell, N., Lamb, R., Beven, K. Coxon, G. and Freer, J. 2019. Efficient cascade modelling of nature-based solutions scaled to larger catchments to model extremes taking account of uncertainties. Geophysical Research Abstracts 21: EGU2019-1024. view online or view paper (pdf).

Hankin, B., Lamb, R., Chappell, N., Page, T., Metcalfe, P. Integration of hillslope hydrology and hydraulics for improved flood and sediment modelling. Thirteenth British Hydrological Society National Symposium, Westminster, 12-13 September 2018. download presentation.

Chappell, N.A., Beven, K., Quinton, J., Lamb, R., Haygarth, P., Hankin, B., Page, T., McShane, G., Kretzschmar, A., Johnson, D. and Rose, S. 2018. NERC Quantifying the likely magnitude of nature-based flood mitigation effects across large catchments (Q-NFM). Poster presented to the Thirteenth British Hydrological Society National Symposium, Westminster, 12-13 September 2018. view poster.

Hankin, B., 2018. Bringing NFM Field Evidence and Modelling Together. CIWEM North West meeting, Lancaster University 16 May 2018.

Chappell, N.A., 2018. The Q-NFM project. CIWEM North West meeting, Lancaster University 16 May 2018.

Hankin, B., 2018. Whole catchment NFM modelling. TUFLOW Conference 2018, Bristol Zoo 18 April 2018

Chappell, N.A., 2018. Interview on NERC research on Natural Flood Management. BBC Radio Cumbria 9 Feb 2018

Chappell, N.A., 2018. Interview on flood mitigation with trees. BBC Radio 4 Farming Today 6 Feb 2018

Chappell, N.A., 2017. New report reviews role of trees in flood alleviation. view (3 Oct 2017)

Chappell, N.A., 2017. Supporting business with NFRM research. view (27 Sep 2017)

Chappell, N.A., 2017. Natural flood management could have made a 'significant difference' during Storm Desmond view (Apr 2017)

Chappell, N.A., 2016. Interview on effectiveness of natural flood management. BBC Radio 4, You and Yours programme, 12:30pm 22^nd December 2016. listen online.

Chappell, N.A., 2016. Interview on aniversary of Storm Desmond of the conditions leading to flooding in Lancaster. BBC Radio Lancashire, 7:40am 5^th December 2016, with excerpts on hourly news reports that day.

Twitter: @NERC_QNFM

News

Green Alliance perspective on NERC Q-NFM and partner projects PROTECT and Landwise in Mar 2023

NERC Q-NFM Finale presentation on 7^th Jul 2022

Expert perspective on NERC Q-NFM and partner projects PROTECT and Landwise by Dr Lydia Burgess-Gamble on 7^th Jul 2022

Q-NFM Third Partner Meeting on 27^th Jan 2020

Q-NFM Second Partner Meeting on 14^th Jan 2019

Q-NFM First Partner Meeting on 26^th Jan 2018

NERC Q-NFM project start on 1^st Nov 2017

Q-NFM Data Management & EIDC

Chappell, N.A. 2021. Q-NFM Data Management Plan. EIDC DMP-NER0047221-Chappell_19112021, Lancaster University, UK.

Chappell, N.A., Evans, M., and Clarke, J. 2019. NFM Data Management Plan. Version 1.3, NERC NFM Programme Coordination Group.

Chappell, N.A., Evans, M., and Clarke, J. 2019. NFM Science Integration Plan. Version 1.2, NERC NFM Programme Coordination Group.

Chappell, N.A. 2018. Q-NFM: Data Management Plan. Q-NFM Technical Report QNFM/QA/DMP/1/0001/1.0, Lancaster University, UK.

Support provided by the Environmental Information Data Centre (EIDC)

The NERC NFM programme data is securely held in the NFM DATA STORE which is hosted by the ISS Lancaster Data Store. Quality assured data will be made public via the EIDC Hub

End-User Workshops

YDNP/LRT Farmer Facilitation Group meeting at Orton 4^th Mar 2020.

Cumbria NFM partner meeting at Wetherall (Carlisle) 19^th Feb 2020.

Lune Valley Flood Forum engagement activity with John Curtin at Lancaster Town Hall 7^th Feb 2020.

Third NERC NFM Programme Executive Board meeting at Lancaster University 21^st Nov 2019.

Field visit for NERC NFM Programme Executive Board to Q-NFM field sites at Kendal and Sedbergh 20^th Nov 2019.

Second NERC NFM Programme Executive Board meeting at Reading University on 15^th Feb 2018.

Second Q-NFM partner workshop at the Environment Agency, Penrith on 14^th Jan 2019.

NFM programme supported 'Local Flooding' workshop for Lancaster Flood Action Groups and Environment Agency at Lancaster University on 1^st Dec 2018 (Anniversary of the Galgate Floods in 2017).

Environment Agency NFM Roadshow (Cumbria) at Castle Green Hotel, Kendal on 9^th May 2018.

First Q-NFM farmer consultantion group meeting at the NFU, Penrith on 9^th Mar 2018.

First NERC NFM Programme Executive Board meeting at the MRC, London on 29^th Jan 2018.

First Q-NFM partner workshop at the Environment Agency, Penrith on 26^th Jan 2018.

Third EA-Defra NFM programme monitoring meeting at the Environment Agency, Penrith on 10^th Jan 2018.

Second EA-Defra NFM programme monitoring meeting at the Environment Agency, Penrith on 21^st Dec 2017.

First EA-Defra NFM programme monitoring meeting at the Environment Agency, Penrith on 28^th Nov 2017.